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The rapidly unravelling 'Zero Covid' policy in China is a stark reminder that Britain could still be stuck in lockdown cycles if ministers listened to cheerleaders of the elimination strategy,
experts warned today.
Many Western public health scientists overlooked the Communist regime's
disregard for individual rights to praise China as a beacon of success early in the pandemic, claiming that it would be
possible for every country in the world to employ similar measures and totally eradicate the virus.
Such claims gained an enthusiastic social
media fan base and earned many of the most zealous Zero Covid experts from British, American and Australian institutions a significant amount of praise and publicity.
But now the ultra-infectious Omicron and BA.2 variants have broken through China's super-strict
Zero Covid restrictions due to subpar vaccines Chinese vaccines and a
lack of natural immunity.
Meanwhile, most Western Zero Covid advocates have quietly changed their position as life returns to normal in most countries while Chinese people
are subjected to brutal shutdowns and Beijing uses military force to suppress the virus.
The other last Zero Covid holdout New Zealand has also finally ditched its policy, while most
experts claim they were only pushing the elimination strategy until an effective vaccine was
developed despite their forceful language early in the pandemic.
But China and Hong Kong are still doggedly trying to eliminate the virus with more
than 30million people in 13 cities across mainland China in lockdown and a nationwide 6pm curfew in place for the 7.5million people of
Hong Kong.
Part of the problem is that China's homegrown vaccines have been shown to offer barely 50 per
cent protection against falling ill with Covid - compared to up to 90 per cent from
Pfizer or Moderna - and are thought to virtually useless
against Omicron.
Beijing has refused to turn to a more effective Western-made vaccines,
which are more expensive and difficult to store and distribute than China's own, which use traditional technology.
On Tuesday, China saw a record 5,000 cases in a single day.
While that may seem small in comparison to rates in the UK, it is the highest number
since the original outbreak began in Wuhan.
In Hong Kong, which is also clinging on to the suppression strategy, nearly 38 people out of every million died from
the virus on Sunday — twice as many as the worst ever day in Britain.
Vaccine uptake among the elderly has been poor in Hong Kong, with around only a third of over-80s double-vaccinated when the Omicron wave hit.
UK scientists have suggested that people in Hong Kong and China became
complacent about Covid after successfully suppressing it for nearly two years.
The Chinese National Health Commission (NHC) has doubled down on its zero Covid stance,
saying the rise of Omicron and BA.2 means 'faster and stricter
measures should be taken'.
Armed riot police in southern China parade four violators of Covid rules through the streets in December as part
of the Government's militant zero Covid strategy
A young girl has her swab sample taken at a mobile testing site
in Beijing on Wednesday
Chinese health workers wear protective suits as
they gather after definecting an area where a single case of
Covid was found on today in Beijing
Empty coffins are delivered to a funeral services shop
and funeral parlours in the Kowloon district of Hong Kong where hospitals are overflowing
with dead bodies as a result of the Omicron outbreak
A boy runs to his cabin at the San Tin Community
Isolation Facility in Hong Kong, where people are
forced to stay for two weeks even if they have only mild symptoms
More than a billion people — 85 per cent of the Chinese
population — have been double-jabbed, which is more than in the UK or Hong
Kong.
But China and Hong Kong have leaned entirely on homegrown vaccines
made by Sinovac and Sinopharm. The jabs are believed to have an overall efficacy
of about 51 per cent against symptomatic disease, although China has never published its
trial findings
Only 30 per cent of people in Hong Kong have had a booster dose and uptake lags
in the elderly groups.
In China it is slightly better at 40 per cent
In Hong Kong, which is also clinging on to the suppression strategy, nearly 38 people out of every million died from the virus
on Sunday — twice as many as the worst ever day in Britain
On Tuesday, the country saw a record 5,000 cases in a single day.
While that may seem small in comparison to rates in the UK, it is the highest number since the original outbreak began in Wuhan
Publicly, Hong Kong is also committed to achieving zero Covid.
But it is quickly being forced to move away from several key pillars
of its policy because of the rapid rise of Omicron.
Its world-renowned contact tracing teams are no longer able to hunt down every
single case because there are so many and mild cases have stopped being sent
to Government isolation hubs because they are overflowing.
Former UK Government Covid advisor, Professor Robert Dingwall, told MailOnline Western scientists who opposed zero
Covid in the early days of the pandemic 'might feel a little smug' watching the policy unravel in the East.
'We're seeing people [Western scientists] stepping back from positions they've
adopted in the last two years, and there is now a certain amount of
rewriting history going on.'
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China, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and others were hailed as the 'envy of the world'
in 2020 and early 2021 as they embarked on their Covid elimination strategies.
Their people continued life largely as normal while the rest of the world lost
their basic freedoms, with restaurants, bars,
nightclubs and sporting events operating at full capacity.
But it came at the expense of basic civil liberties. Strict border policies meant either blocking almost all entries or requiring long hotel quarantines to ensure
the virus would not take hold in the general population.
Entire cities were plunged into snap lockdowns over
the discovery of a single case and relentless contact tracing
saw people hunted down and put into Government facilities for weeks.
Professor Paul Hunter, an infectious disease expert at the University of East Anglia,
told MailOnline: 'We've known since April 2020 that zero Covid is unachievable.
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